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Qual 232016 BattleCry 17
Red112
415118.5
22836.7
271327.3
Blue86
242318.5
287631.5
13829.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions868005010015011286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228
Unranked
36.70.0
36.7→36.7
Auto8.4
Teleop22.3
End6.0
red by 5.3
2876
Unranked
31.50.0
31.5→31.5
Auto9.6
Teleop17.4
End4.5
Second
2713
Unranked
27.30.0
27.3→27.3
Auto9.5
Teleop15.1
End2.8
blue by 2.4
138
Unranked
29.70.0
29.7→29.7
Auto9.1
Teleop13.4
End7.3
Third
4151
Unranked
18.50.0
18.5→18.5
Auto2.9
Teleop13.5
End2.1
Level
2423
Unranked
18.50.0
18.5→18.5
Auto5.9
Teleop9.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
64%Breach odds79%Breach odds
Capture
9%Capture odds1%Capture odds