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Red61
50125.5
207926.3
323621.9
Blue110
512232.2
24636.6
431123.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions739805015020025061110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2079
Unranked
26.30.0
26.326.3
Auto9.7
Teleop12.7
End4.0
blue by 10.3
246
Unranked
36.60.0
36.636.6
Auto12.6
Teleop20.2
End3.8
Second
501
Unranked
25.50.0
25.525.5
Auto10.4
Teleop10.7
End4.4
blue by 6.7
5122
Unranked
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto9.0
Teleop18.4
End4.9
Third
3236
Unranked
21.90.0
21.921.9
Auto7.0
Teleop11.7
End3.2
blue by 1.5
4311
Unranked
23.40.0
23.423.4
Auto10.9
Teleop9.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach odds86%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds13%Capture odds