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Qual 262016 BattleCry 17
Red131
287737.1
115342.5
46732.3
Blue89
18135.5
23735.2
17238.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11611205010015020013189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1153
Unranked
42.50.0
42.5→42.5
Auto11.0
Teleop26.5
End5.0
red by 3.9
172
Unranked
38.60.0
38.6→38.6
Auto8.1
Teleop24.8
End5.7
Second
2877
Unranked
37.10.0
37.1→37.1
Auto18.1
Teleop16.3
End2.8
red by 1.6
181
Unranked
35.50.0
35.5→35.5
Auto10.7
Teleop19.3
End5.5
Third
467
Unranked
32.30.0
32.3→32.3
Auto5.9
Teleop19.6
End6.8
blue by 2.9
237
Unranked
35.20.0
35.2→35.2
Auto9.1
Teleop16.2
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach odds93%Breach odds
Capture
58%Capture odds37%Capture odds