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Red137
16649.6
88530.1
147417.3
Blue76
12638.1
216844.0
226228.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9711705015020013776

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
Unranked
49.60.0
49.649.6
Auto17.3
Teleop27.5
End4.8
red by 5.5
2168
Unranked
44.00.0
44.044.0
Auto14.0
Teleop23.7
End6.4
Second
885
Unranked
30.10.0
30.130.1
Auto9.9
Teleop15.3
End4.9
blue by 8.0
126
Unranked
38.10.0
38.138.1
Auto10.7
Teleop18.4
End8.9
Third
1474
Unranked
17.30.0
17.317.3
Auto6.3
Teleop8.0
End3.0
blue by 11.0
2262
Unranked
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto8.6
Teleop15.5
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach odds98%Breach odds
Capture
7%Capture odds58%Capture odds