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Red145
346738.6
404842.1
16649.6
Blue109
17645.5
512232.2
115342.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13812250100150200250145109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
Unranked
49.60.0
49.649.6
Auto17.3
Teleop27.5
End4.8
red by 4.0
176
Unranked
45.50.0
45.545.5
Auto7.8
Teleop28.1
End9.6
Second
4048
Unranked
42.10.0
42.142.1
Auto7.9
Teleop27.3
End6.8
blue by 0.4
1153
Unranked
42.50.0
42.542.5
Auto11.0
Teleop26.5
End5.0
Third
3467
Unranked
38.60.0
38.638.6
Auto6.7
Teleop28.1
End3.8
red by 6.4
5122
Unranked
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto9.0
Teleop18.4
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach odds95%Breach odds
Capture
72%Capture odds75%Capture odds