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Red132
17331.3
18135.5
105845.4
Blue90
13829.7
555631.2
110031.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120895010015013290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1058
Unranked
45.40.0
45.445.4
Auto8.8
Teleop26.0
End10.6
red by 14.2
5556
Unranked
31.20.0
31.231.2
Auto8.7
Teleop15.9
End6.6
Second
181
Unranked
35.50.0
35.535.5
Auto10.7
Teleop19.3
End5.5
red by 4.4
1100
Unranked
31.10.0
31.131.1
Auto6.9
Teleop19.9
End4.3
Third
173
Unranked
31.30.0
31.331.3
Auto9.5
Teleop17.3
End4.5
red by 1.6
138
Unranked
29.70.0
29.729.7
Auto9.1
Teleop13.4
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach odds94%Breach odds
Capture
48%Capture odds2%Capture odds