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Red147
13137.9
207926.3
456450.6
Blue115
371926.1
22836.7
216844.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11910850150200147115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4564
Unranked
50.60.0
50.650.6
Auto11.2
Teleop30.5
End9.0
red by 6.6
2168
Unranked
44.00.0
44.044.0
Auto14.0
Teleop23.7
End6.4
Second
131
Unranked
37.90.0
37.937.9
Auto10.9
Teleop19.7
End7.3
red by 1.1
228
Unranked
36.70.0
36.736.7
Auto8.4
Teleop22.3
End6.0
Third
2079
Unranked
26.30.0
26.326.3
Auto9.7
Teleop12.7
End4.0
red by 0.3
3719
Unranked
26.10.0
26.126.1
Auto10.5
Teleop11.9
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach odds94%Breach odds
Capture
13%Capture odds13%Capture odds