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Red118
19030.8
12638.1
279137.6
Blue144
23841.0
415118.5
19568.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105137050150200250118144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
Unranked
38.10.0
38.138.1
Auto10.7
Teleop18.4
End8.9
blue by 30.8
195
Unranked
68.90.0
68.968.9
Auto20.3
Teleop37.8
End10.8
Second
2791
Unranked
37.60.0
37.637.6
Auto10.4
Teleop23.6
End3.6
blue by 3.3
238
Unranked
41.00.0
41.041.0
Auto14.4
Teleop21.0
End5.6
Third
190
Unranked
30.80.0
30.830.8
Auto11.8
Teleop14.7
End4.2
red by 12.3
4151
Unranked
18.50.0
18.518.5
Auto2.9
Teleop13.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach odds98%Breach odds
Capture
74%Capture odds64%Capture odds