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Qual 392016 BattleCry 17
Red61
331447.7
417632.2
50125.5
Blue139
264839.2
490936.2
287631.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10911070809010012013014061139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3314
Unranked
47.70.0
47.7→47.7
Auto12.2
Teleop27.6
End7.9
red by 8.5
2648
Unranked
39.20.0
39.2→39.2
Auto10.0
Teleop25.4
End3.8
Second
4176
Unranked
32.20.0
32.2→32.2
Auto10.8
Teleop16.6
End4.8
blue by 4.0
4909
Unranked
36.20.0
36.2→36.2
Auto7.8
Teleop23.7
End4.7
Third
501
Unranked
25.50.0
25.5→25.5
Auto10.4
Teleop10.7
End4.4
blue by 6.0
2876
Unranked
31.50.0
31.5→31.5
Auto9.6
Teleop17.4
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach odds97%Breach odds
Capture
18%Capture odds23%Capture odds