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Qual 402016 BattleCry 17
Red70
88530.1
110031.1
17543.7
Blue77
271327.3
115342.5
323621.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111920501502007077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
Unranked
43.70.0
43.7→43.7
Auto9.5
Teleop24.5
End9.7
red by 1.2
1153
Unranked
42.50.0
42.5→42.5
Auto11.0
Teleop26.5
End5.0
Second
1100
Unranked
31.10.0
31.1→31.1
Auto6.9
Teleop19.9
End4.3
red by 3.8
2713
Unranked
27.30.0
27.3→27.3
Auto9.5
Teleop15.1
End2.8
Third
885
Unranked
30.10.0
30.1→30.1
Auto9.9
Teleop15.3
End4.9
red by 8.2
3236
Unranked
21.90.0
21.9→21.9
Auto7.0
Teleop11.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach odds88%Breach odds
Capture
27%Capture odds27%Capture odds