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Qual 412016 BattleCry 17
Red80
83933.7
456450.6
242318.5
Blue118
346738.6
15730.7
18135.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1051105015080118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4564
Unranked
50.60.0
50.6→50.6
Auto11.2
Teleop30.5
End9.0
red by 12.0
3467
Unranked
38.60.0
38.6→38.6
Auto6.7
Teleop28.1
End3.8
Second
839
Unranked
33.70.0
33.7→33.7
Auto8.1
Teleop20.0
End5.6
blue by 1.8
181
Unranked
35.50.0
35.5→35.5
Auto10.7
Teleop19.3
End5.5
Third
2423
Unranked
18.50.0
18.5→18.5
Auto5.9
Teleop9.3
End3.3
blue by 12.2
157
Unranked
30.70.0
30.7→30.7
Auto10.0
Teleop15.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach odds94%Breach odds
Capture
48%Capture odds29%Capture odds