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Red80
88530.1
115342.5
409722.8
Blue74
19030.8
417632.2
395820.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101830501502008074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1153
Unranked
42.50.0
42.542.5
Auto11.0
Teleop26.5
End5.0
red by 10.3
4176
Unranked
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto10.8
Teleop16.6
End4.8
Second
885
Unranked
30.10.0
30.130.1
Auto9.9
Teleop15.3
End4.9
blue by 0.7
190
Unranked
30.80.0
30.830.8
Auto11.8
Teleop14.7
End4.2
Third
4097
Unranked
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto6.2
Teleop13.8
End2.8
red by 2.1
3958
Unranked
20.80.0
20.820.8
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach odds84%Breach odds
Capture
20%Capture odds9%Capture odds