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Red140
371926.1
19568.9
17238.6
Blue105
512232.2
415118.5
409722.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15062050100200250140105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
Unranked
68.90.0
68.968.9
Auto20.3
Teleop37.8
End10.8
red by 36.7
5122
Unranked
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto9.0
Teleop18.4
End4.9
Second
172
Unranked
38.60.0
38.638.6
Auto8.1
Teleop24.8
End5.7
red by 15.8
4097
Unranked
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto6.2
Teleop13.8
End2.8
Third
3719
Unranked
26.10.0
26.126.1
Auto10.5
Teleop11.9
End3.7
red by 7.6
4151
Unranked
18.50.0
18.518.5
Auto2.9
Teleop13.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach odds46%Breach odds
Capture
30%Capture odds2%Capture odds