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Red124
455730.4
105845.4
12638.1
Blue115
431123.4
404842.1
331447.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11611790100110120130140124115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1058
Unranked
45.40.0
45.445.4
Auto8.8
Teleop26.0
End10.6
blue by 2.3
3314
Unranked
47.70.0
47.747.7
Auto12.2
Teleop27.6
End7.9
Second
126
Unranked
38.10.0
38.138.1
Auto10.7
Teleop18.4
End8.9
blue by 4.0
4048
Unranked
42.10.0
42.142.1
Auto7.9
Teleop27.3
End6.8
Third
4557
Unranked
30.40.0
30.430.4
Auto9.1
Teleop15.5
End5.8
red by 7.0
4311
Unranked
23.40.0
23.423.4
Auto10.9
Teleop9.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach odds93%Breach odds
Capture
79%Capture odds28%Capture odds