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Qual 542016 BattleCry 17
Red93
112446.9
17238.6
107320.2
Blue132
490936.2
207926.3
404842.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1091075015020093132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1124
Unranked
46.90.0
46.9→46.9
Auto9.8
Teleop26.4
End10.6
red by 4.8
4048
Unranked
42.10.0
42.1→42.1
Auto7.9
Teleop27.3
End6.8
Second
172
Unranked
38.60.0
38.6→38.6
Auto8.1
Teleop24.8
End5.7
red by 2.4
4909
Unranked
36.20.0
36.2→36.2
Auto7.8
Teleop23.7
End4.7
Third
1073
Unranked
20.20.0
20.2→20.2
Auto5.7
Teleop11.1
End3.4
blue by 6.2
2079
Unranked
26.30.0
26.3→26.3
Auto9.7
Teleop12.7
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach odds92%Breach odds
Capture
15%Capture odds17%Capture odds