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Red135
208428.6
271327.3
346738.6
Blue170
346134.1
331447.7
19568.9
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86167050100150200250135170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3467
Unranked
38.60.0
38.638.6
Auto6.7
Teleop28.1
End3.8
blue by 30.3
195
Unranked
68.90.0
68.968.9
Auto20.3
Teleop37.8
End10.8
Second
2084
Unranked
28.60.0
28.628.6
Auto10.8
Teleop15.6
End2.2
blue by 19.1
3314
Unranked
47.70.0
47.747.7
Auto12.2
Teleop27.6
End7.9
Third
2713
Unranked
27.30.0
27.327.3
Auto9.5
Teleop15.1
End2.8
blue by 6.8
3461
Unranked
34.10.0
34.134.1
Auto10.5
Teleop18.3
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach odds97%Breach odds
Capture
16%Capture odds76%Capture odds