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Red86
23735.2
512232.2
395820.8
Blue119
417632.2
173531.6
12638.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8710805015020086119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
237
Unranked
35.20.0
35.235.2
Auto9.1
Teleop16.2
End9.8
blue by 2.9
126
Unranked
38.10.0
38.138.1
Auto10.7
Teleop18.4
End8.9
Second
5122
Unranked
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto9.0
Teleop18.4
End4.9
Level
4176
Unranked
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto10.8
Teleop16.6
End4.8
Third
3958
Unranked
20.80.0
20.820.8
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End3.8
blue by 10.9
1735
Unranked
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto12.7
Teleop13.6
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
59%Breach odds94%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds77%Capture odds