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Qual 572016 BattleCry 17
Red100
455730.4
13829.7
264839.2
Blue121
323621.9
83933.7
31942.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10210150150200100121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2648
Unranked
39.20.0
39.2→39.2
Auto10.0
Teleop25.4
End3.8
blue by 2.9
319
Unranked
42.10.0
42.1→42.1
Auto11.8
Teleop23.8
End6.6
Second
4557
Unranked
30.40.0
30.4→30.4
Auto9.1
Teleop15.5
End5.8
blue by 3.4
839
Unranked
33.70.0
33.7→33.7
Auto8.1
Teleop20.0
End5.6
Third
138
Unranked
29.70.0
29.7→29.7
Auto9.1
Teleop13.4
End7.3
red by 7.8
3236
Unranked
21.90.0
21.9→21.9
Auto7.0
Teleop11.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach odds97%Breach odds
Capture
6%Capture odds77%Capture odds