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Qual 582016 BattleCry 17
Red123
19030.8
16649.6
226228.4
Blue87
24636.6
242318.5
555631.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1178305010015020012387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
Unranked
49.60.0
49.6→49.6
Auto17.3
Teleop27.5
End4.8
red by 12.9
246
Unranked
36.60.0
36.6→36.6
Auto12.6
Teleop20.2
End3.8
Second
190
Unranked
30.80.0
30.8→30.8
Auto11.8
Teleop14.7
End4.2
blue by 0.4
5556
Unranked
31.20.0
31.2→31.2
Auto8.7
Teleop15.9
End6.6
Third
2262
Unranked
28.40.0
28.4→28.4
Auto8.6
Teleop15.5
End4.2
red by 9.9
2423
Unranked
18.50.0
18.5→18.5
Auto5.9
Teleop9.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach odds87%Breach odds
Capture
26%Capture odds3%Capture odds