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Qual 592016 BattleCry 17
Red86
115342.5
15730.7
107320.2
Blue123
13137.9
287631.5
105845.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions931225015020086123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1153
Unranked
42.50.0
42.5→42.5
Auto11.0
Teleop26.5
End5.0
blue by 2.9
1058
Unranked
45.40.0
45.4→45.4
Auto8.8
Teleop26.0
End10.6
Second
157
Unranked
30.70.0
30.7→30.7
Auto10.0
Teleop15.8
End4.8
blue by 7.2
131
Unranked
37.90.0
37.9→37.9
Auto10.9
Teleop19.7
End7.3
Third
1073
Unranked
20.20.0
20.2→20.2
Auto5.7
Teleop11.1
End3.4
blue by 11.3
2876
Unranked
31.50.0
31.5→31.5
Auto9.6
Teleop17.4
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach odds99%Breach odds
Capture
13%Capture odds16%Capture odds