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Qual 602016 BattleCry 17
Red124
431123.4
17645.5
17543.7
Blue101
22836.7
346134.1
409722.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1209250150200124101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
Unranked
45.50.0
45.5→45.5
Auto7.8
Teleop28.1
End9.6
red by 8.8
228
Unranked
36.70.0
36.7→36.7
Auto8.4
Teleop22.3
End6.0
Second
175
Unranked
43.70.0
43.7→43.7
Auto9.5
Teleop24.5
End9.7
red by 9.5
3461
Unranked
34.10.0
34.1→34.1
Auto10.5
Teleop18.3
End5.3
Third
4311
Unranked
23.40.0
23.4→23.4
Auto10.9
Teleop9.4
End3.1
red by 0.6
4097
Unranked
22.80.0
22.8→22.8
Auto6.2
Teleop13.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach odds88%Breach odds
Capture
28%Capture odds16%Capture odds