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Qual 612016 BattleCry 17
Red156
271327.3
581346.0
18135.5
Blue107
12127.6
512232.2
12638.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11498050150200156107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5813
Unranked
46.00.0
46.0→46.0
Auto9.3
Teleop31.8
End4.9
red by 7.9
126
Unranked
38.10.0
38.1→38.1
Auto10.7
Teleop18.4
End8.9
Second
181
Unranked
35.50.0
35.5→35.5
Auto10.7
Teleop19.3
End5.5
red by 3.3
5122
Unranked
32.20.0
32.2→32.2
Auto9.0
Teleop18.4
End4.9
Third
2713
Unranked
27.30.0
27.3→27.3
Auto9.5
Teleop15.1
End2.8
blue by 0.3
121
Unranked
27.60.0
27.6→27.6
Auto7.2
Teleop18.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach odds92%Breach odds
Capture
73%Capture odds31%Capture odds