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Red118
279137.6
173531.6
13829.7
Blue130
88530.1
346738.6
17238.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99114050150200118130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2791
Unranked
37.60.0
37.637.6
Auto10.4
Teleop23.6
End3.6
blue by 1.0
3467
Unranked
38.60.0
38.638.6
Auto6.7
Teleop28.1
End3.8
Second
1735
Unranked
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto12.7
Teleop13.6
End5.3
blue by 7.0
172
Unranked
38.60.0
38.638.6
Auto8.1
Teleop24.8
End5.7
Third
138
Unranked
29.70.0
29.729.7
Auto9.1
Teleop13.4
End7.3
blue by 0.4
885
Unranked
30.10.0
30.130.1
Auto9.9
Teleop15.3
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach odds97%Breach odds
Capture
4%Capture odds21%Capture odds