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Red165
331447.7
555631.2
23735.2
Blue81
242318.5
23841.0
207926.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123825010015020016581

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3314
Unranked
47.70.0
47.747.7
Auto12.2
Teleop27.6
End7.9
red by 6.7
238
Unranked
41.00.0
41.041.0
Auto14.4
Teleop21.0
End5.6
Second
237
Unranked
35.20.0
35.235.2
Auto9.1
Teleop16.2
End9.8
red by 8.8
2079
Unranked
26.30.0
26.326.3
Auto9.7
Teleop12.7
End4.0
Third
5556
Unranked
31.20.0
31.231.2
Auto8.7
Teleop15.9
End6.6
red by 12.7
2423
Unranked
18.50.0
18.518.5
Auto5.9
Teleop9.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach odds92%Breach odds
Capture
5%Capture odds8%Capture odds