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Red115
50125.5
208428.6
490936.2
Blue124
16649.6
415118.5
395820.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9491050150200115124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4909
Unranked
36.20.0
36.236.2
Auto7.8
Teleop23.7
End4.7
blue by 13.4
166
Unranked
49.60.0
49.649.6
Auto17.3
Teleop27.5
End4.8
Second
2084
Unranked
28.60.0
28.628.6
Auto10.8
Teleop15.6
End2.2
red by 7.8
3958
Unranked
20.80.0
20.820.8
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End3.8
Third
501
Unranked
25.50.0
25.525.5
Auto10.4
Teleop10.7
End4.4
red by 7.0
4151
Unranked
18.50.0
18.518.5
Auto2.9
Teleop13.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach odds69%Breach odds
Capture
4%Capture odds4%Capture odds