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Red158
264839.2
83933.7
12638.1
Blue103
19030.8
17331.3
17645.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115110050150200250158103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2648
Unranked
39.20.0
39.239.2
Auto10.0
Teleop25.4
End3.8
blue by 6.3
176
Unranked
45.50.0
45.545.5
Auto7.8
Teleop28.1
End9.6
Second
126
Unranked
38.10.0
38.138.1
Auto10.7
Teleop18.4
End8.9
red by 6.8
173
Unranked
31.30.0
31.331.3
Auto9.5
Teleop17.3
End4.5
Third
839
Unranked
33.70.0
33.733.7
Auto8.1
Teleop20.0
End5.6
red by 2.9
190
Unranked
30.80.0
30.830.8
Auto11.8
Teleop14.7
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach odds96%Breach odds
Capture
96%Capture odds33%Capture odds