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Red113
346738.6
71625.1
17543.7
Blue120
105845.4
226228.4
17238.6
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1101176080100140160180113120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
Unranked
43.70.0
43.743.7
Auto9.5
Teleop24.5
End9.7
blue by 1.7
1058
Unranked
45.40.0
45.445.4
Auto8.8
Teleop26.0
End10.6
Second
3467
Unranked
38.60.0
38.638.6
Auto6.7
Teleop28.1
End3.8
Level
172
Unranked
38.60.0
38.638.6
Auto8.1
Teleop24.8
End5.7
Third
716
Unranked
25.10.0
25.125.1
Auto7.8
Teleop14.6
End2.6
blue by 3.3
2262
Unranked
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto8.6
Teleop15.5
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach odds98%Breach odds
Capture
22%Capture odds26%Capture odds