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Qual 732016 BattleCry 17
Red84
17331.3
287631.5
409722.8
Blue112
323621.9
242318.5
404842.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8884020030040084112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2876
Unranked
31.50.0
31.5→31.5
Auto9.6
Teleop17.4
End4.5
blue by 10.6
4048
Unranked
42.10.0
42.1→42.1
Auto7.9
Teleop27.3
End6.8
Second
173
Unranked
31.30.0
31.3→31.3
Auto9.5
Teleop17.3
End4.5
red by 9.4
3236
Unranked
21.90.0
21.9→21.9
Auto7.0
Teleop11.7
End3.2
Third
4097
Unranked
22.80.0
22.8→22.8
Auto6.2
Teleop13.8
End2.8
red by 4.3
2423
Unranked
18.50.0
18.5→18.5
Auto5.9
Teleop9.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach odds74%Breach odds
Capture
3%Capture odds5%Capture odds