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Qual 742016 BattleCry 17
Red113
555631.2
83933.7
208428.6
Blue82
115342.5
50125.5
371926.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions969840608012014011382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
839
Unranked
33.70.0
33.7→33.7
Auto8.1
Teleop20.0
End5.6
blue by 8.8
1153
Unranked
42.50.0
42.5→42.5
Auto11.0
Teleop26.5
End5.0
Second
5556
Unranked
31.20.0
31.2→31.2
Auto8.7
Teleop15.9
End6.6
red by 5.1
3719
Unranked
26.10.0
26.1→26.1
Auto10.5
Teleop11.9
End3.7
Third
2084
Unranked
28.60.0
28.6→28.6
Auto10.8
Teleop15.6
End2.2
red by 3.1
501
Unranked
25.50.0
25.5→25.5
Auto10.4
Teleop10.7
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach odds92%Breach odds
Capture
17%Capture odds7%Capture odds