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Qual 752016 BattleCry 17
Red96
395820.8
46732.3
147417.3
Blue131
13137.9
271327.3
264839.2
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6411405010015096131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
Unranked
32.30.0
32.3→32.3
Auto5.9
Teleop19.6
End6.8
blue by 6.9
2648
Unranked
39.20.0
39.2→39.2
Auto10.0
Teleop25.4
End3.8
Second
3958
Unranked
20.80.0
20.8→20.8
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End3.8
blue by 17.1
131
Unranked
37.90.0
37.9→37.9
Auto10.9
Teleop19.7
End7.3
Third
1474
Unranked
17.30.0
17.3→17.3
Auto6.3
Teleop8.0
End3.0
blue by 10.0
2713
Unranked
27.30.0
27.3→27.3
Auto9.5
Teleop15.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
60%Breach odds95%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds16%Capture odds