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Red170
23735.2
456450.6
19568.9
Blue124
16649.6
112446.9
12127.6
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16612150100150200250170124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
Unranked
68.90.0
68.968.9
Auto20.3
Teleop37.8
End10.8
red by 19.3
166
Unranked
49.60.0
49.649.6
Auto17.3
Teleop27.5
End4.8
Second
4564
Unranked
50.60.0
50.650.6
Auto11.2
Teleop30.5
End9.0
red by 3.8
1124
Unranked
46.90.0
46.946.9
Auto9.8
Teleop26.4
End10.6
Third
237
Unranked
35.20.0
35.235.2
Auto9.1
Teleop16.2
End9.8
red by 7.6
121
Unranked
27.60.0
27.627.6
Auto7.2
Teleop18.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach odds89%Breach odds
Capture
68%Capture odds24%Capture odds