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Red86
173531.6
234221.4
431123.4
Blue100
107320.2
13829.7
19030.8
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions798320406010012014016086100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1735
Unranked
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto12.7
Teleop13.6
End5.3
red by 0.8
190
Unranked
30.80.0
30.830.8
Auto11.8
Teleop14.7
End4.2
Second
4311
Unranked
23.40.0
23.423.4
Auto10.9
Teleop9.4
End3.1
blue by 6.3
138
Unranked
29.70.0
29.729.7
Auto9.1
Teleop13.4
End7.3
Third
2342
Unranked
21.40.0
21.421.4
Auto4.5
Teleop13.8
End3.1
red by 1.3
1073
Unranked
20.20.0
20.220.2
Auto5.7
Teleop11.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach odds82%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds2%Capture odds