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Red142
331447.7
17331.3
71625.1
Blue113
287737.1
15730.7
417632.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108102050150200142113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3314
Unranked
47.70.0
47.747.7
Auto12.2
Teleop27.6
End7.9
red by 10.5
2877
Unranked
37.10.0
37.137.1
Auto18.1
Teleop16.3
End2.8
Second
173
Unranked
31.30.0
31.331.3
Auto9.5
Teleop17.3
End4.5
blue by 0.9
4176
Unranked
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto10.8
Teleop16.6
End4.8
Third
716
Unranked
25.10.0
25.125.1
Auto7.8
Teleop14.6
End2.6
blue by 5.6
157
Unranked
30.70.0
30.730.7
Auto10.0
Teleop15.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach odds87%Breach odds
Capture
11%Capture odds9%Capture odds