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Red82
325542.6
39937.7
364724.2
Blue156
96836.2
519940.2
580521.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1331155010015020082156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.60.5
43.342.8
Auto9.3
Teleop28.8
End4.5
red by 2.5
40.20.3
40.240.5
Auto13.5
Teleop15.2
End11.4
Second
399
#1
37.70.5
38.437.9
Auto8.3
Teleop24.2
End5.1
red by 1.5
968
#9
36.20.3
36.236.5
Auto10.4
Teleop21.3
End4.5
Third
3647
#19
24.20.5
24.924.3
Auto7.4
Teleop12.1
End4.7
red by 2.3
5805
#28
21.90.3
21.922.2
Auto5.2
Teleop13.2
End3.5