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Final 22016 Battle at the Border
Red162
325542.6
39937.7
364724.2
Blue153
96836.2
519940.2
580521.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13111750100150200162153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3255
#3
42.60.3
42.8→43.0
Auto9.3
Teleop28.8
End4.5
red by 2.5
5199
#2
40.20.2
40.5→40.7
Auto13.5
Teleop15.2
End11.4
Second
399
#1
37.70.3
37.9→38.1
Auto8.3
Teleop24.2
End5.1
red by 1.5
968
#9
36.20.2
36.5→36.7
Auto10.4
Teleop21.3
End4.5
Third
3647
#19
24.20.3
24.3→24.6
Auto7.4
Teleop12.1
End4.7
red by 2.3
5805
#28
21.90.2
22.2→22.4
Auto5.2
Teleop13.2
End3.5