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Red173
325542.6
39937.7
364724.2
Blue103
153836.2
606026.2
162216.5
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13676050100150200250173103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.60.5
42.242.8
Auto9.3
Teleop28.8
End4.5
red by 6.4
1538
#29
36.20.6
35.636.2
Auto6.3
Teleop24.3
End5.7
Second
399
#1
37.70.5
37.337.9
Auto8.3
Teleop24.2
End5.1
red by 11.5
6060
#12
26.20.6
25.626.2
Auto7.6
Teleop15.0
End3.6
Third
3647
#19
24.20.5
23.824.4
Auto7.4
Teleop12.1
End4.7
red by 7.7
1622
#16
16.50.6
15.916.5
Auto6.2
Teleop9.0
End1.3