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Semifinal 1-12016 Battle at the Border
Red137
325542.6
39937.7
364724.2
Blue109
302132.1
501236.2
4B27.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132111050150200250300137109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3255
#3
42.60.3
42.8→43.1
Auto9.3
Teleop28.8
End4.5
red by 6.5
5012
#6
36.20.1
36.1→36.0
Auto5.2
Teleop26.9
End4.0
Second
399
#1
37.70.3
37.9→38.1
Auto8.3
Teleop24.2
End5.1
red by 5.6
3021
#14
32.10.1
32.1→31.9
Auto8.6
Teleop19.4
End4.1
Third
3647
#19
24.20.3
24.4→24.6
Auto7.4
Teleop12.1
End4.7
blue by 3.4
4B
#26
27.50.2
27.5→27.2
Auto7.4
Teleop13.8
End6.3