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Qual 72016 Battle at the Border
Red70
4B27.5
580521.9
153836.2
Blue104
399B18.0
519940.2
364724.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions937102040608010012014016070104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1538
#29
36.21.1
44.3→43.1
Auto6.3
Teleop24.3
End5.7
blue by 4.0
5199
#2
40.21.4
34.9→36.4
Auto13.5
Teleop15.2
End11.4
Second
4B
#26
27.51.9
16.2→14.3
Auto7.4
Teleop13.8
End6.3
red by 3.4
3647
#19
24.21.8
23.3→25.0
Auto7.4
Teleop12.1
End4.7
Third
5805
#28
21.91.1
26.7→25.6
Auto5.2
Teleop13.2
End3.5
red by 3.8
399B
#17
18.02.4
14.3→16.7
Auto4.5
Teleop11.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach oddsMissed55%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed