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Red100
325542.6
312827.2
396526.0
Blue71
265811.8
248532.7
254325.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions967905015010071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.60.6
38.639.2
Auto9.3
Teleop28.8
End4.5
red by 9.9
2485
#13
32.70.6
33.733.1
Auto8.9
Teleop20.1
End3.7
Second
3128
#18
27.20.6
28.328.9
Auto9.7
Teleop13.5
End4.0
red by 1.8
2543
#23
25.40.6
28.828.3
Auto4.4
Teleop18.0
End3.1
Third
3965
#10
26.00.6
23.924.5
Auto7.5
Teleop15.1
End3.5
red by 14.2
2658
#30
11.80.7
16.916.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.2
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned82%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed