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Quarterfinal 4-12016 Beach Blitz
Red190
580245.6
330B44.7
249329.7
Blue124
513633.4
519936.6
461928.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14511750100200250190124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5802
#18
45.60.7
43.7→44.4
Auto14.4
Teleop27.5
End3.8
red by 9.1
5199
#7
36.60.0
37.1→37.0
Auto11.0
Teleop14.7
End10.9
Second
330B
Unranked
44.70.7
42.8→43.5
Auto9.1
Teleop31.7
End3.9
red by 11.4
5136
#10
33.40.0
33.9→33.8
Auto8.4
Teleop21.7
End3.2
Third
2493
#25
29.70.7
27.7→28.4
Auto7.1
Teleop17.5
End5.1
red by 1.2
4619
#13
28.50.0
29.0→29.0
Auto6.8
Teleop17.8
End3.9