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Quarterfinal 4-22016 Beach Blitz
Red177
580245.6
330B44.7
249329.7
Blue98
513633.4
519936.6
461928.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1471175010020017798

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5802
#18
45.60.2
44.4→44.6
Auto14.4
Teleop27.5
End3.8
red by 9.1
5199
#7
36.60.5
37.0→36.6
Auto11.0
Teleop14.7
End10.9
Second
330B
Unranked
44.70.2
43.5→43.7
Auto9.1
Teleop31.7
End3.9
red by 11.4
5136
#10
33.40.5
33.8→33.4
Auto8.4
Teleop21.7
End3.2
Third
2493
#25
29.70.2
28.4→28.7
Auto7.1
Teleop17.5
End5.1
red by 1.2
4619
#13
28.50.5
29.0→28.5
Auto6.8
Teleop17.8
End3.9