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Qual 152016 Beach Blitz
Red91
98022.2
29442.5
512441.5
Blue62
166112.0
68732.1
583526.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1275801001502009162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#16
42.51.5
46.7→45.2
Auto12.6
Teleop25.6
End4.4
red by 10.5
687
#9
32.10.6
29.1→28.4
Auto8.6
Teleop18.2
End5.3
Second
5124
#3
41.51.5
41.0→39.5
Auto11.3
Teleop25.3
End4.8
red by 15.3
5835
#12
26.20.7
23.7→23.0
Auto6.1
Teleop15.8
End4.2
Third
980
#21
22.21.5
26.0→24.5
Auto5.7
Teleop12.2
End4.3
red by 10.2
1661
#28
12.00.6
13.6→13.0
Auto3.8
Teleop8.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned70%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
16%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed