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Red119
375917.4
347650.1
69639.3
Blue121
432225.7
330B44.7
581035.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10710680100120140160119121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3476
#20
50.10.3
50.550.8
Auto13.2
Teleop30.5
End6.4
red by 5.3
330B
Unranked
44.71.4
40.341.7
Auto9.1
Teleop31.7
End3.9
Second
696
#5
39.30.3
36.236.6
Auto9.9
Teleop24.9
End4.5
red by 4.2
35.10.8
33.033.9
Auto11.3
Teleop20.1
End3.7
Third
3759
#27
17.40.4
17.317.7
Auto4.3
Teleop11.5
End1.5
blue by 8.3
4322
#23
25.70.8
30.030.8
Auto6.7
Teleop14.4
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
7%Capture oddsMissed6%Capture oddsMissed