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Red95
583526.2
513633.4
969627.0
Blue83
166112.0
519936.6
29442.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions661060501502009583

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5136
#10
33.41.7
29.931.6
Auto8.4
Teleop21.7
End3.2
blue by 9.2
294
#16
42.51.0
45.244.2
Auto12.6
Teleop25.6
End4.4
Second
9696
#15
27.02.8
17.220.0
Auto6.0
Teleop18.7
End2.2
blue by 9.5
36.61.0
39.138.2
Auto11.0
Teleop14.7
End10.9
Third
5835
#12
26.21.7
23.024.7
Auto6.1
Teleop15.8
End4.2
red by 14.1
1661
#28
12.01.0
13.012.0
Auto3.8
Teleop8.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
51%Breach oddsEarned83%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed5%Capture oddsMissed