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Qual 202016 Beach Blitz
Red90
432225.7
375917.4
427633.8
Blue117
347327.5
96840.6
69639.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8410705015020025090117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4276
#14
33.80.3
36.4→36.0
Auto9.6
Teleop19.8
End4.4
blue by 6.8
968
#11
40.61.1
38.0→39.1
Auto10.2
Teleop24.6
End5.8
Second
4322
#23
25.70.3
30.8→30.5
Auto6.7
Teleop14.4
End4.6
blue by 13.6
696
#5
39.31.1
36.6→37.6
Auto9.9
Teleop24.9
End4.5
Third
3759
#27
17.40.3
17.7→17.4
Auto4.3
Teleop11.5
End1.5
blue by 10.1
3473
#26
27.51.1
26.4→27.4
Auto5.7
Teleop20.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed