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Red124
581035.1
499924.1
330959.9
Blue71
476330.0
427633.8
969627.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1189105015020012471

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.90.9
53.153.9
Auto10.9
Teleop41.9
End7.1
red by 26.1
4276
#14
33.81.4
33.732.3
Auto9.6
Teleop19.8
End4.4
Second
35.10.9
34.435.2
Auto11.3
Teleop20.1
End3.7
red by 5.0
30.01.4
32.330.9
Auto9.9
Teleop15.9
End4.2
Third
4999
#22
24.10.9
23.624.5
Auto2.9
Teleop19.2
End2.0
blue by 2.9
9696
#15
27.02.1
26.324.3
Auto6.0
Teleop18.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
16%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsMissed