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Red90
567820.9
461928.5
519936.6
Blue66
29442.5
375917.4
98022.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83920501502002509066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.60.5
34.034.5
Auto11.0
Teleop14.7
End10.9
blue by 6.0
294
#16
42.51.5
45.243.7
Auto12.6
Teleop25.6
End4.4
Second
4619
#13
28.50.5
28.328.8
Auto6.8
Teleop17.8
End3.9
red by 6.3
980
#21
22.21.5
24.122.6
Auto5.7
Teleop12.2
End4.3
Third
5678
#19
20.90.5
20.120.6
Auto2.6
Teleop13.9
End4.4
red by 3.5
3759
#27
17.41.5
19.117.6
Auto4.3
Teleop11.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned72%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed