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Qual 492016 Beach Blitz
Red104
519936.6
499924.1
580245.6
Blue135
166112.0
512441.5
33066.3
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1051240200300400104135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5802
#18
45.60.0
44.0→44.0
Auto14.4
Teleop27.5
End3.8
blue by 20.7
330
#2
66.30.8
62.8→63.6
Auto14.8
Teleop43.2
End8.4
Second
5199
#7
36.60.0
36.2→36.2
Auto11.0
Teleop14.7
End10.9
blue by 4.9
5124
#3
41.50.8
43.2→44.0
Auto11.3
Teleop25.3
End4.8
Third
4999
#22
24.10.0
24.2→24.1
Auto2.9
Teleop19.2
End2.0
red by 12.1
1661
#28
12.00.8
11.8→12.6
Auto3.8
Teleop8.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsMissed92%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
6%Capture oddsMissed36%Capture oddsMissed