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Qual 502016 Beach Blitz
Red108
98022.2
581035.1
96840.6
Blue54
583526.2
347327.5
249329.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1058505015020010854

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
968
#11
40.60.3
41.3→41.6
Auto10.2
Teleop24.6
End5.8
red by 10.9
2493
#25
29.72.1
30.3→28.2
Auto7.1
Teleop17.5
End5.1
Second
5810
#6
35.10.3
35.5→35.8
Auto11.3
Teleop20.1
End3.7
red by 7.6
3473
#26
27.52.1
31.1→29.1
Auto5.7
Teleop20.0
End1.8
Third
980
#21
22.20.3
22.2→22.5
Auto5.7
Teleop12.2
End4.3
blue by 4.0
5835
#12
26.22.1
23.7→21.6
Auto6.1
Teleop15.8
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
6%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed