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Red139
347650.1
427633.8
932218.3
Blue127
476330.0
330959.9
375917.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99102050150200250139127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3476
#20
50.12.1
48.350.5
Auto13.2
Teleop30.5
End6.4
blue by 9.8
59.91.9
53.555.4
Auto10.9
Teleop41.9
End7.1
Second
4276
#14
33.82.1
31.633.7
Auto9.6
Teleop19.8
End4.4
red by 3.8
30.01.9
29.431.2
Auto9.9
Teleop15.9
End4.2
Third
9322
#17
18.32.6
17.019.6
Auto5.1
Teleop11.8
End1.4
red by 0.9
3759
#27
17.41.9
16.017.9
Auto4.3
Teleop11.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
10%Capture oddsEarned8%Capture oddsEarned